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Policy learning with confidence

This paper introduces a framework for selecting policies that maximize expected welfare under estimation uncertainty. The… Continue reading.

Victor Chernozhukov, Sokbae Lee, Adam Rosen, Liyang Sun
July | CWP15/25
Plausible GMM: a quasi-bayesian approach

Structural estimation in economics often makes use of models formulated in terms of moment conditions. While… Continue reading.

Victor Chernozhukov, Christian Hansen, Lingwei Kong, Weining Wang
July | CWP14/25
Inference for an algorithmic fairness-accuracy frontier

Algorithms are increasingly used to aid with high-stakes decision making. Yet, their predictive ability frequently exhibits… Continue reading.

Francesca Molinari, Yiqi Liu
July | CWP13/25
Moment restrictions for nonlinear panel data models with feedback

Many panel data methods, while allowing for general dependence between covariates and time-invariant agent-specific heterogeneity, place… Continue reading.

Stéphane Bonhomme, Kevin Dano, Bryan S. Graham
June | CWP12/25