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Asia Unbound

CFR fellows and other experts assess the latest issues emerging in Asia today.

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Taiwan President Lai Ching-te waves as he leaves for a trip to Hawaii, Guam and the Pacific Island allies at the airport in Taoyuan, Taiwan November 30, 2024.
Taiwan President Lai Ching-te waves as he leaves for a trip to Hawaii, Guam and the Pacific Island allies at the airport in Taoyuan, Taiwan November 30, 2024. REUTERS/Ann Wang

Cancelling President Lai’s Transit Is a Mistake That Will Embolden China

The Trump administration’s cancellation of President Lai’s transit risks emboldening China.

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Taiwan
What the Failed Recall in Taiwan Means for U.S.-Taiwan and Cross-Strait Relations
The failed recall campaign in Taiwan will likely prompt continued political gridlock, raising important questions for U.S.-Taiwan and cross-Strait relations.
Southeast Asia
Thai-Cambodian Border Clashes Help Revive Hun Sen’s Power
Despite ceding power to his son in 2023, Cambodia's former prime minister Hun Sen has continued to dominate the country's domestic and foreign policy. The most recent border conflict with Thailand has helped revive his power once again.
Thailand
Thailand and Cambodia’s Ceasefire: Will It Stop War When Elites Want Conflict?
While Thailand and Cambodia have reached a temporary ceasefire in their border conflict, it is unlikely to hold as the conflict’s escalation is driven by Thai and Cambodian elites’ efforts to consolidate military and political power.
  • Southeast Asia
    Trump Makes Some Apparent Trade Deals in Asia, but Could be Poisoning the Waters Long Term
    President Donald Trump announced trade deals with Japan, the Philippines, and Indonesia this week. But the needle may not have moved much when it comes to swaying Southeast Asia from China's economic influence.
  • Japan
    What’s Next? Japanese Voters Hand the LDP Yet Another Loss
    Japan’s voters dealt Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) with yet another devastating blow on Sunday, the second electoral loss since coming into office last fall.
  • Japan
    A U.S.-Japan Trade Impasse as Ishiba Faces Another Election
    The stakes are unusually high in Sunday’s Upper House election in Japan.
  • Southeast Asia
    Will Southeast Asia Help Trump Build a Wall Against Chinese Exports?
    President Donald Trump’s strategy of using Southeast Asian nations as an economic “wall” against Chinese exports has attracted renewed attention after the apparent finalization of a U.S.-Vietnam trade deal on July 2.  
  • Thailand
    The Last Days of Thailand’s Shinawatra Dynasty
    The outcome a no-confidence vote planned in parliament this week in Thailand may represent a fundamental reconfiguration of its political order.
  • Myanmar
    Organized Crime Is Thriving in Myanmar’s Civil War—and It’s a Global Threat
    Myanmar has become, by some estimates, the current center for global organized crime following the 2021 coup and now meets the definition of a failed state.